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| I went to the meeting last night and took a lot of notes and have been thinking through the situation and what options there might be.
Some things to consider please, if you take the time to read this post - I am neither for for against John Wilkinson - the simple truths are :
We are where we are,
You cannot change the past - only the future,
Pouring out vitriol does no good - at this moment we need ONLY positive thinking!
The items I took from the meeting as positives were:
1: The current director's loans to the clubs are converted to shares and essentially handed over to new owners for nothing - i.e. written off
2: That has reduced the debt on the balance sheet from around £5m to £2m - presumably ~£1.5 to the council & the rest to banks who won't write things off
3: The existing board agreed they would stand down en-masse when new ownership is found.
4: There are some individuals who have already pledged that they would support a rescue (one example given was Steve McCormack)
The situation just to stay in existence is:
1: We need to find approximately £240,000 by 7th January to avoid the winding up petition being actioned. That includes about £20K to Patten and £30K to Anderson and the rest to the Inland Revenue (I'm not certain on those numbers can anyone confirm)
2: We would need another £380,000 by the start of the season to pay other creditors who have just been ignored or kept at bay for some time, that cannot continue. Those two sums make up the £600,000 that was mentioned.
My concerns over the future are:
1: The business plan is predicated on an 8,000 average home gate with 500 diners per home game - Is that achievable?
2: I believe it would be [upossible[/u to find the cash to stave off the winding up order and indeed to get to the £600,000 - you just need 600 individuals, groups or businesses to contribute £1,000 each. How likely is it that such a number could be found in the required time-scale and willing to contribute to what might still be a lost cause if the current business plan is not viable?
3: Can we as fans put together a structure within say Forever Reds with enough expertise and experience to administer such sums (taking on board the suggestion from JW that Forever Reds is the obvious vehicle to use) in the time available and would that affect the constitution of Forever Reds as a charitable trust?
A possible way forward (assuming there is enough agreement to want to go forward)
1: Forever Reds to convene a meeting of interested parties to thrash out setting up some administration and organising the fund raising
2: The club confirm what level of resources they will commit to those activities
3: We get on and JFDI !!
Finally can I again ask the Salford fans to stop fighting and point scoring amongst ourselves - if we want to watch Salford in Super League (or possibly at all!) next season we need a common purpose.
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| Excellent post from a Balanced man.
I would be happy to join any prospective `Think Tank` should ever one be formed.
Steve McCormick`s post on Facebook shows there is much interest from the whole community both of Salford & the greater RFL.
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| Quote ="BartonFlyer"I went to the meeting last night and took a lot of notes and have been thinking through the situation and what options there might be.
Some things to consider please, if you take the time to read this post - I am neither for for against John Wilkinson - the simple truths are :
We are where we are,
You cannot change the past - only the future,
Pouring out vitriol does no good - at this moment we need ONLY positive thinking!
The items I took from the meeting as positives were:
1: The current director's loans to the clubs are converted to shares and essentially handed over to new owners for nothing - i.e. written off
2: That has reduced the debt on the balance sheet from around £5m to £2m - presumably ~£1.5 to the council & the rest to banks who won't write things off
3: The existing board agreed they would stand down en-masse when new ownership is found.
4: There are some individuals who have already pledged that they would support a rescue (one example given was Steve McCormack)
The situation just to stay in existence is:
1: We need to find approximately £240,000 by 7th January to avoid the winding up petition being actioned. That includes about £20K to Patten and £30K to Anderson and the rest to the Inland Revenue (I'm not certain on those numbers can anyone confirm)
2: We would need another £380,000 by the start of the season to pay other creditors who have just been ignored or kept at bay for some time, that cannot continue. Those two sums make up the £600,000 that was mentioned.
My concerns over the future are:
1: The business plan is predicated on an 8,000 average home gate with 500 diners per home game - Is that achievable?
2: I believe it would be [upossible[/u to find the cash to stave off the winding up order and indeed to get to the £600,000 - you just need 600 individuals, groups or businesses to contribute £1,000 each. How likely is it that such a number could be found in the required time-scale and willing to contribute to what might still be a lost cause if the current business plan is not viable?
3: Can we as fans put together a structure within say Forever Reds with enough expertise and experience to administer such sums (taking on board the suggestion from JW that Forever Reds is the obvious vehicle to use) in the time available and would that affect the constitution of Forever Reds as a charitable trust?
A possible way forward (assuming there is enough agreement to want to go forward)
1: Forever Reds to convene a meeting of interested parties to thrash out setting up some administration and organising the fund raising
2: The club confirm what level of resources they will commit to those activities
3: We get on and JFDI !!
Finally can I again ask the Salford fans to stop fighting and point scoring amongst ourselves - if we want to watch Salford in Super League (or possibly at all!) next season we need a common purpose.'"
I wasn't under the impression Wilky actually spelled out what average attendance required is for the new 'robust business plan'? If it is 8,000 then we've got no chance, it should be based on 4.5k/5k paying customers.
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| Quote ="BartonFlyer"My concerns over the future are:
1: The business plan is predicated on an 8,000 average home gate with 500 diners per home game - Is that achievable? '"
The word "robust" was used several times regarding the business plan, but if a business plan is based on gates of 8k (with a drastically weakened team) then I don't see how that can be considered robust. Did JAW clearly state that next years business plan was based on 8k? I wasn't sure he did.
Quote ="BartonFlyer"3: Can we as fans put together a structure within say Forever Reds with enough expertise and experience to administer such sums (taking on board the suggestion from JW that Forever Reds is the obvious vehicle to use) in the time available and would that affect the constitution of Forever Reds as a charitable trust?'"
Just for clarification, FR does not have charitable status. It's an Industrial and Provident Society (a "benefit of the community" society).
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| I'm not sure now on the 8,000 - I don't think it was stated either way that it was still 8,000 in the "robust plan" or had been reduced so my assumption is that the plan remains at that level.
Yet more evidence why, if there is to be fans involvement we need to get moving and actually understand the situation fully.
Re FR status - thanks for the clarification Iain, I'm no lawyer so I don't understand the significance, but my question remains - would FR be in a position to assist in the way I've suggested?
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| Quote ="BartonFlyer"You cannot change the past - only the future,
Pouring out vitriol does no good - at this moment we need ONLY positive thinking!
'"
I agree, Now should be the time the supporters attempt to put its own plan of action in place to help if possible to save the club.
Quote ="BartonFlyer"A possible way forward (assuming there is enough agreement to want to go forward)
1: Forever Reds to convene a meeting of interested parties to thrash out setting up some administration and organising the fund raising'"
To me the most respected forum & logically way forward would be through the forever reds medium.
Quote ="BartonFlyer"Finally can I again ask the Salford fans to stop fighting and point scoring amongst ourselves - if we want to watch Salford in Super League (or possibly at all!) next season we need a common purpose.'"
100% agree, we all have differing opinion, we now know we are in danger of going under, we will not get many chances to put this right, how many of us are prepared to bury our differences & help give our club a fighting chance?
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| Quote ="Iain"The word "robust" was used several times regarding the business plan, but if a business plan is based on gates of 8k (with a drastically weakened team) then I don't see how that can be considered robust. Did JAW clearly state that next years business plan was based on 8k? I wasn't sure he did.'"
I don't think he did.
Quote ="BartonFlyer"Re FR status - thanks for the clarification Iain, I'm no lawyer so I don't understand the significance, but my question remains - would FR be in a position to assist in the way I've suggested?'"
I believe advice is being sought on that today.
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| Quote ="BartonFlyer"I'm not sure now on the 8,000 - I don't think it was stated either way that it was still 8,000 in the "robust plan" or had been reduced so my assumption is that the plan remains at that level.
Yet more evidence why, if there is to be fans involvement we need to get moving and actually understand the situation fully.
Re FR status - thanks for the clarification Iain, I'm no lawyer so I don't understand the significance, but my question remains - would FR be in a position to assist in the way I've suggested?'"
Without trying to sound smug I posted on here at the begining of the clubs tunure at barton that your then Cheif Exec had clearly stated that 8000 fans was the breakeven figure required at Barton, only to be shot down by many on here as this being incorrect. sadly from your clubs point of view it wasn't and has contributed to the sad mess your club is currently in.
I, as stated by another Lions fan sincerely hope you get a solution which keeps Salford playing Rugby League. The loss of any club is a disaster to Rugby league especially with the current strength of Rugby Union.(albeit not in Sale's case).
At long last it seems that some of your support is now getting a march on to start fund raising via a trust vehicle and I hope you are sucessful in raising the 600K needed.
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| Quote ="Marshy1"Without trying to sound smug I posted on here at the begining of the clubs tunure at barton that your then Cheif Exec had clearly stated that 8000 fans was the breakeven figure required at Barton, only to be shot down by many on here as this being incorrect.'"
No, the difference was two stances were trotted out by people at the club: one, that 8,000 was the break-even figure and two, that 8,000 was to achieve maximum salary cap spend with the break-even figure being quite lower. That Salford could not coordinate it's communication was the fact.
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| Quote ="BartonFlyer"Re FR status - thanks for the clarification Iain, I'm no lawyer so I don't understand the significance, but my question remains - would FR be in a position to assist in the way I've suggested?'"
In a nutshell, probably.
We can fairly easily account for money in, and have safe constitutional structures for holding it, and can keep it separate for a specific fund (that could be returned if not needed) - though we need to find out more on the implications of a significantly increased turnover from a tax and audit perspective (I'm speaking to Supporters Direct about this). From an IPS laws perspective, it does ultimately depend on where the money goes and for what purpose.
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| I would imagine SD will mention this but I would also be sure to give the bank a call to explain why there might be more cash flowing through the bank accounts.
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| Quote ="BartonFlyer"...
My concerns over the future are:
1: The business plan is predicated on an 8,000 average home gate with 500 diners per home game - Is that achievable?
'"
The way I heard it - although others outside afterwards disagreed - was that the plan was based on a reduction of £450,000 in the squad budget [iand[/i a reduction of £400,000 in expected income. If the reduction in income is true, and assuming the reduction is entirely from admission fees, then this would equate to an expected attendance of very roughly 6500. If income from other sources - sponsorship particularly, but isn't the Sky money being withheld from Bradford being distributed to other clubs? - is expected to increase next season, then the expected attendance could obviously be lower still.
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| It does seem like the situation is almost the same as we were in two years ago, and so it may be that you have a low before the high. Although the directors' loan being cashed in for free is a burden off any investor, the 2m debt owed to the council and bank isn't, along with the other creditors. I can only imagine that any business plan is much better without those hanging around and so is less reliant on high attendances. This would allow the club to service the squad rather than the debts.
In a nutshell, therefore, I wonder whether investors will do what they did with us and wait for administration and then step in with a bargain basement offer. There were rumours of more than one interested party waiting for administration with us, and the reason suggested for one pulling out was because the lack of any assurances over Super League survival.
It will get bumpy before its gets smooth but I hope it works out. One of the biggest mistakes we would have made as fans was try to prop up the club, and look at the Bulls fans who threw good money away last year. If I was an investor, I would wait for administration, because with those debts, you are probably investing in a plate-spinning exercising until you succumb yourself. So it might get bad before its gets better, but maybe that better is lot healthier in the long term than what seems like an immediate rescue.
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| Re. the 8k crowds, going off my memory and the notes I made last night, I certainly do think that the business plan depends on 8,000 people turning up each week. He said at one point "we have a viable business plan if we get 8,000 crowds." I think that started off one of the "shouty" bits from the floor.
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| Bit of a catch 22 with the 8k numbers.
For Salford to even get close to those numbers they need to be a top 6 side. Without significant investment into the playing squad they can't achieve this. As it stands, the team will not be successful enough to bring in more regulars and draw a bigger awway support. I think all the marketing in the world matters little when you're trying to market a turd. The only way you can build with successful marketing is with successful results on the pitch.
I just can't see any way we could touch the top 6 as the team stands. If we manage to start the season. Barring a coaching miracle from PV and SL of Hollywood proportions it's just not going to happen.
My worry is that so many fans have had their fingers burnt by the Club that it might be difficult to even sustain half that number.
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| I gained the impression last night that the stadium at Barton has a management team that lends itself to the other club that uses it,but not SCR.
I am aware that when the money from Thomas,at Leigh Centurions ceased,that club managed to reduce the charges,and even the price of beer was reduced,at the LSV.( I gained the impression no one from the club is in dialogue with the SMC at SCS.)
Personally,it wouldn't bother me if the club shared a stadium elsewhere - perhaps even at one of those so-called big soccer clubs that between them are hundreds of millions of pounds in debt but still manage to be at the top of the top league.
What alternatives are there - pre and post administration - should this occur ?
Would I be wrong to wish the white elephant onto the sole use of Peel Holdings and the council - will Sale remain should they be relegated ?
Would I be wrong to implore fans NOT to spend money at the stadium as it does not benefit SCR at all ? (Unless some merchandise arrives )
Could further improvements at the home of Salford FC be sufficient for Super League Licensing purposes ?
Does the contract signed for the SCS at Barton prevent any of the above ?
Apologies for my ignorance on these matters.
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| I agree with GT and i too think the business plan was based on 8,000. Ludicrous i know.
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| Just an aside on the 8k, I was talking to Andy Walsh from FC United about this the other day. Apparently the accepted percentage increase due to the "new ground" factor is 20%. If you look at the attendance figures (hit and miss with ours, I'll grant you) it's a 16% increase, if I remember rightly. So, if we'd factored sensibly on all of this we wouldn't actually be that far out. But, there you go.
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| Quote ="GT"Just an aside on the 8k, I was talking to Andy Walsh from FC United about this the other day. Apparently the accepted percentage increase due to the "new ground" factor is 20%. If you look at the attendance figures (hit and miss with ours, I'll grant you) it's a 16% increase, if I remember rightly. So, if we'd factored sensibly on all of this we wouldn't actually be that far out. But, there you go.'"
Interesting.
I'd say 16% is pretty good considering how poor we were on the pitch. Would imagine the %age would be higher if we'd been more successful on the park.
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| Quote ="TheButcher"I'd say 16% is pretty good considering how poor we were on the pitch. Would imagine the %age would be higher if we'd been more successful on the park.'"
Remember the spike in the attendances was mainly due to the away fans wanted to visit the new stadium, if we get the chance to start the new season with the team we have at present, attendances will be down on two fronts before we start. A) the novelty of away fans visiting. b) The home product on the pitch.
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| Quote ="GT"Re. the 8k crowds, going off my memory and the notes I made last night, I certainly do think that the business plan depends on 8,000 people turning up each week. He said at one point "we have a viable business plan if we get 8,000 crowds." I think that started off one of the "shouty" bits from the floor.'"
Thank you Ginge for confirming that the 8k was and always has been the quoted breakeven figure for SCR. The business plan was clearly flawed much to the detriment of your club.
The difficulty is now attracting the additional spectators required on the back of all the clubs problems.
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| Quote ="redgunner"Remember the spike in the attendances was mainly due to the away fans wanted to visit the new stadium, if we get the chance to start the new season with the team we have at present, attendances will be down on two fronts before we start. A) the novelty of away fans visiting. b) The home product on the pitch.'"
True.
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| The winding up petition is heard on Jan 7th.
Patten is £30k & Anderson £20k.
What is the HMRC debt please? Anybody know?
Also has any other creditor joined the claim?
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| Quote ="Early Bath"The winding up petition is heard on Jan 7th.
Patten is £30k & Anderson £20k.
What is the HMRC debt please? Anybody know?
Also has any other creditor joined the claim?'"
I think the HMRC debt was somewhere in the region of £250 - £300,000. No other creditors appear to have joined the petition yet.
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| Thanks RedJohn
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