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| Quote ="Sal Paradise":3vcgctg0We were going to build houses just at the point when banks stopped lending!! '" :3vcgctg0
Banks stopped lending stupid money for poor investments to people would couldn't afford it, :3vcgctg0reasonably:3vcgctg0 priced housing is still selling and people are still able to get :3vcgctg0sensible:3vcgctg0 mortgages.
The shortage of housing isn't not going to go away any time soon, building now while the industry needs a boost keeps workers off the dole and increases the available housing stock, a double win.
Quote :3vcgctg0How was the deficit going to be reduced - even they had agreed that it had to come down. They would have had to raise monies somehow if not VAT then direct taxation.'" :3vcgctg0
How about not giving a tax cut to millionaires for a start, there are always two ways to balance a budget, get more in through slow steady growth that keeps people in work or the way Osbourne has handled it, seems like his way is failing.
Quote :3vcgctg0At least it appears that despite all the recessions unemployment continues to reduce.'"
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| Quote ="Mintball"So, this global financial crisis – it didn't happen, then?
And if it did, it had absolutely no affect on the entirely separate crisis that occurred in the UK?'"
We were heading for some serious issues the banking crisis compounded an already worsening position. And yes you can roll out "after the WW2 the debt to GDP was" but the level of debt we were building was unsustainable and Labour knew that - the banking crisis did them a favour - it help to divert attention away from the mishandling of matters.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"It was global issue - did the banks in China need bailing out or Australia, South American banks, African banks, Russian banks how global was the crisis - US and Europe?'"
You're contradicting yourself. Either it was a global crisis or it was not.
Quote ="earlier, Sal Paradise"... Sadly for them the some voters were able to see through their "Its not our fault its a global issue" excuses...'"
Quote ="Sal Paradise"The government took the only realistic decision open to it, if their would have been any other choice they would have avoided nationalising these banks. The sad thing is that it ever got to that position, but I suppose - despite 10+ years of Labour - that was all Maggie's fault?'"
It was ultimately the fault of the neo-liberal sphericals that successive governments, from 1979 on, have pursued.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"We were heading for some serious issues the banking crisis compounded an already worsening position. And yes you can roll out "after the WW2 the debt to GDP was" but the level of debt we were building was unsustainable and Labour knew that - the banking crisis did them a favour - it help to divert attention away from the mishandling of matters.'"
The deficit, before 2008, was below that under Major – not least because under Labour, unemployment was reduced. The Tories, remember, consider that unemployment "is a price worth paying" – as long as it it's some other poor paying it.
When are you going to stop pretending that it was not and that these 'record levels of debt' (as opposed to debt under the Thatcher and Major administrations that you never complain of) did not exist except in the minds of propagandists?
How many times does Sally (or anyone else) have to explain it for you?
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"...the level of debt we were building was unsustainable and Labour knew that - the banking crisis did them a favour - it help to divert attention away from the mishandling of matters.'"
I can't let you just chuck that one into the pot.
The level of debt was quite manageable (by Labour or Tory standards, if you look at their respective levels when in office at various times) ... until the banking crisis hit.
Labour didn't see that coming and maybe should have regulated the banks (although that would have been tricky, shackling British banks would have reduced their competitiveness compared with foreign banks).
But, let's not forget, at that time Osborne was busily criticising Labour for OVER-regulating the banks.
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| Quote ="El Barbudo"... But, let's not forget, at that time Osborne was busily criticising Labour for OVER-regulating the banks.'"
And wanting us to be just like Ireland.
The political right continues to press the argument that there must be further deregulation in all sorts of areas for the sake of the economy, including in the financial sectors. This is a huge part of what some of them imagine they would get by leaving the EU, without any negative consequences.
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| Quote ="Kosh"Better than someone who spent 2 hours assembling some largely irrelevant Google and Wikipedia quotes, yes.
You didn't even remove all the quotation marks when you copy-and-pasted them.
'"
Where do you do your research ...the Beano?
I inserted the quotation marks to show it was a quote
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| Quote ="Mintball"You're contradicting yourself. Either it was a global crisis or it was not.
It was ultimately the fault of the neo-liberal sphericals that successive governments, from 1979 on, have pursued.'"
I am suggesting there are huge areas/populations in the world that were completely unaffected by the banking crisis - China being one, the arab states being another, Russia etc So was it really a global crisis or was our egocentric view that if affected Europe and the US then it must be global!!
So its all Milton's fault - don't blame Maggie because Blair/Brown decided to continue to follow her flawed economic theory. They had more than one economic cycle to sort things and return back to the good old days of large public ownership, union control, high taxation etc.
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| Quote ="El Barbudo"I can't let you just chuck that one into the pot.
The level of debt was quite manageable (by Labour or Tory standards, if you look at their respective levels when in office at various times) ... until the banking crisis hit.
Labour didn't see that coming and maybe should have regulated the banks (although that would have been tricky, shackling British banks would have reduced their competitiveness compared with foreign banks).
But, let's not forget, at that time Osborne was busily criticising Labour for OVER-regulating the banks.'"
Suggest you read Darling's book - the labour top brass knew debt was getting out of control and something would have to be done. They did what Labour always do - shy away from making any tough decisions. If they had made any unpopular moves they would have been obliterated in the election.
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| Quote ="Mintball"not least because under Labour, unemployment was reduced.'"
simply a lie. when labour came to power it was approx 1.7m, when they left it was almost 2.5m.
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| Quote ="samwire"simply a lie. when labour came to power it was approx 1.7m, when they left it was almost 2.5m.'"
You can make stats say anything can't you ?
[url=http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10604117According to the BBC who have taken these stats from the ONS[/url unemployment in May 97 was 2.05m and in May 2010 was 2.49m, the trend of downwards unemployment being reversed in April 2008 when the figure was 1.66m and I'm sure we all know why stats tend to get skewed upwards from 2008 onwards ?
More telling is that its still around 2.49m which according to most commentators is far less than they would expect at this time, more worrying is that those same stat collectors and commentators don't know why.
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| Quote ="JerryChicken"You can make stats say anything can't you ?
[url=http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10604117According to the BBC who have taken these stats from the ONS[/url unemployment in May 97 was 2.05m and in May 2010 was 2.49m, the trend of downwards unemployment being reversed in April 2008 when the figure was 1.66m and I'm sure we all know why stats tend to get skewed upwards from 2008 onwards ?
More telling is that its still around 2.49m which according to most commentators is far less than they would expect at this time, more worrying is that those same stat collectors and commentators don't know why.'"
Absolute numbers for employment/unemployment are meaningless without an indication of population.
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| Quote ="cod'ead"Absolute numbers for employment/unemployment are meaningless without an indication of population.'"
And an indication of the underemployed.
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| Quote ="JerryChicken"You can make stats say anything can't you ?
[url=http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10604117According to the BBC who have taken these stats from the ONS[/url unemployment in May 97 was 2.05m and in May 2010 was 2.49m, the trend of downwards unemployment being reversed in April 2008 when the figure was 1.66m and I'm sure we all know why stats tend to get skewed upwards from 2008 onwards ?
More telling is that its still around 2.49m which according to most commentators is far less than they would expect at this time, more worrying is that those same stat collectors and commentators don't know why.'"
not really, no. these stats, whichever you choose show unemployment higher when labour left power than when they arrived. are you suggesting those poor sods who lost their jobs from '08 onwards shouldn't be counted?
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| Quote ="samwire"not really, no. these stats, whichever you choose show unemployment higher when labour left power than when they arrived. are you suggesting those poor sods who lost their jobs from '08 onwards shouldn't be counted?'"
I'm not suggesting anything, I'm merely providing a link to stats which you failed to do, how you read them and what logic you read into them is entirely your perrogative.
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| Quote ="JerryChicken"I'm not suggesting anything, I'm merely providing a link to stats which you failed to do, how you read them and what logic you read into them is entirely your perrogative.'"
sorry, here's the link.
[urlhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2007/mar/12/politics.past[/url
Quote Unemployment is lower than when Labour came to power: the number of people out of work and claiming benefit was 1,619,000 in May 1997'"
i read that labour left more people unemployed than when they came to power. as 2.5m is a bigger number than 1.7m/2.0m.
there's 1 other interesting snippet from that piece from march 2007
Quote That criticism is linked to a third - namely that economic success has been built on rocky foundations - large dollops of private and public debt, an over-reliance on the speculative activities of the City and an excess of consumption and stagnation in manufacturing that has led to a trade deficit of record proportions.'"
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| Quote ="samwire"
there's 1 other interesting snippet from that piece from march 2007
"[iUnemployment is lower than when Labour came to power: the number of people out of work and claiming benefit was 1,619,000 in May 1997[/i"
'"
If we stick to the Office of Natonal Statistics figures then the claimant count in May 97 was 1.62m from an umployed figure of 2.05m, in Nov 10 it was 1.58m from 2.49m unemployed.
So if you're into plucking figures in order to wave a political flag then the very simplest of comparisons is true, the latest claimant figure is lower then when Labour came to power, or to put it another way the last set of claimant figures that the outgoing Tory party left was higher than the figures that the Tory/LibDem coalition are working with now.
I'm not quite sure what the Guardian correspondants comparison has to do with the Labour Party though being as they wouldn't really be responsible for causing the unemployment in May 97 would they ?
One very pertinent point from the ONS figures is that since mid-2005 the difference between unemployed and claimants has been growing and as all three party's can take responsibility for those figures then then question is, in Nov '12 almost 900,000 people were unemployed but not claiming JSA and as the notes to those stats in my link state that can be caused by the fact that the top line unemployed figures are actually an average over three months and therefore not a definitive snapshot figure whereas the claimant figures are accurate for that month - but mainly because there is a trenche of people who do not qualify for JSA when they are unemployed, mainly the young school leavers, and its they who should be our biggest concern and its they who have been contributing to the widening gulf between "unemployed" and "claimant".
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| Quote ="JerryChicken"If we stick to the Office of Natonal Statistics figures then the claimant count in May 97 was 1.62m from an umployed figure of 2.05m, in Nov 10 it was 1.58m from 2.49m unemployed.
So if you're into plucking figures in order to wave a political flag then the very simplest of comparisons is true, the latest claimant figure is lower then when Labour came to power, or to put it another way the last set of claimant figures that the outgoing Tory party left was higher than the figures that the Tory/LibDem coalition are working with now.
I'm not quite sure what the Guardian correspondants comparison has to do with the Labour Party though being as they wouldn't really be responsible for causing the unemployment in May 97 would they ?
One very pertinent point from the ONS figures is that since mid-2005 the difference between unemployed and claimants has been growing and as all three party's can take responsibility for those figures then then question is, in Nov '12 almost 900,000 people were unemployed but not claiming JSA and as the notes to those stats in my link state that can be caused by the fact that the top line unemployed figures are actually an average over three months and therefore not a definitive snapshot figure whereas the claimant figures are accurate for that month - but mainly because there is a trenche of people who do not qualify for JSA when they are unemployed, mainly the young school leavers, and its they who should be our biggest concern and its they who have been contributing to the widening gulf between "unemployed" and "claimant".'"
we can stick to whatever figures you like, the simple fact is more people were unemployed when labour left power than when they came to power.
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| Quote ="samwire"we can stick to whatever figures you like, the simple fact is more people were unemployed when labour left power than when they came to power.'"
That would be two years into the global financial crisis.
One of the reasons that the deficit was lower under the Labour governments, until the global financial crisis, was that unemployment was lower than under the Conservatives governments of both Margaret Thatcher and John Major.
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| The Tories could, for the wrong reasons (IMO), maybe get this right. If, as I have previously proposed, they can split the French-German axis that dominates Europe and isolate France in policy terms we could all come out of this well. As I have said before, a Northern European powerhouse with France being isolated, possibly as the champion of the impoverished South would be a good outcome.
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| Here's a thing: why do we keep responding to someone who has so little respect for the rest of the users of this forum and for their own 'arguments' that they have admitted they cannot be bothered even using basic correct punctuation?
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| Quote ="Mintball"Here's a thing: why do we keep responding to someone who has so little respect for the rest of the users of this forum and for their own 'arguments' that they have admitted they cannot be bothered even using basic correct punctuation?'"
I've been ignoring most of his posts, suggest you do to, you'll miss nothing.
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| Quote ="Big Graeme"I've been ignoring most of his posts, suggest you do to, you'll miss nothing.'"
You're probably right.
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| Quote ="Mintball"Here's a thing: why do we keep responding to someone who has so little respect for the rest of the users of this forum and for their own 'arguments' that they have admitted they cannot be bothered even using basic correct punctuation?'"
He (or she) is a good poster. Provides some balance to the utter rubbish that infects most of your posts on the forum, and the fact that you felt it was necessary to abuse him a few weeks ago proves that you don't have the intellectual capacity to respond to his points.
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| Quote ="samwire"we can stick to whatever figures you like, the simple fact is more people were unemployed when labour left power than when they came to power.'"
And why was that ?
You can't just wave numbers around like a flag above your head unless you're prepared to stop and think about what it is you're trying to say, there is an obvious reason why unemployment rose from 2008 to 2010 and its the same reason why it has stayed pretty much static from 2010 to 2012 and if any political party wants to take the blame or the credit for that figure then by all means, sew it to their flag and wave it.
The important and most pertinent point that you should be addressing is what can be done to reduce the numbers - assuming that you believe they should be lower in the first place ?
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