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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Don't give me fantasy give me realism.'"
But May's campaign was based on the premise that she's going to lead a game-of-chicken positional negotiation against enemies that wish us ill. And win.
Either you believe that is a cynical fantasy to grab the votes of people who don't really understand the situation, or you believe that is her real strategy? Which wouldn't make it in the least realistic.
Or maybe there's a sensible and internally consistent third option that I'm missing?
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"On paper, May is best placed to lead the UK. Which is not to say well placed. The problem is she'll be fending of the sharks in her own party (and given it's the Tory party that is a lot of sharks), while trying to negotiate brexit and appease her deeply unimpressed press baron patrons and DUP props.
Hammond's got less charisma than her, Johnson is a clown, and any moderates would be torn apart by their hard right nut job element. So David Davis it is then. Poor nice bloke.
Meanwhile a Labour Party for whom obituitaries were being written has a chance to get its poop together. Which it really, really needs to do, I admit - but at least now there is hope.'"
I'd agree with that, although why anyone thinks Johnson would be a good prime minister is beyond me. Sure, he's got that 'cuddly buffoon thing going for him, but underneath it all is basically a posh Donald Trump with a list of gaffs longer than John Holmes' kicking game.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Whilst I didn't want Labour/Corbyn to win THIS election I really do hope they get their act together and really threaten to win next time. But I'm already worried that they're acting like they won and will get complacent. At the end of the day they are still plenty of seats behind and it's hard to imagine the Tories being as bad next time. The Tories I think already know where they went wrong, as good as people think Labour did they still turned some off as seen by responses on this thread alone but already the attitude seems to be to dismiss those criticisms as slurs or slander of poor sweet innocent Jezza instead of things they should listen and learn from.'"
Yeah, I think May was lulled by the gushing praise she got in some quarters of the press, while labour and Corbyn learned how to deal with the brickbats.
In an unlikely re-run with the same leaders, May would have the benefit of experience but would receive a much harder time. Corbyn couldn't be so easily be dismissed.
The lessons of last time might not be that much use next time. May might make a Corbyn-sequel recovery, but at the moment a painful, protracted political demise looks like a win for her. Still it's all about performance relative to expectation I guess!
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| Quote ="Charlie Sheen"I'd agree with that, although why anyone thinks Johnson would be a good prime minister is beyond me. Sure, he's got that 'cuddly buffoon thing going for him, but underneath it all is basically a posh Donald Trump with a list of gaffs longer than John Holmes' kicking game.'"
Tbf, nearly half of US voters thought Trump would be a good President! Or better than H. Clinton, at least.
There are similarities between Johnson and Trump. They're both self-aggrandising gaff-prone blustering hypocrites and I wouldn't trust either of them an inch. However, in partial defence of Johnson, he seems to have a tiny bit of self awareness and a loose grasp of how some aspects of the world work. Wouldn't leave him in temporary charge of a small green grocers, never mind a major city or nation, personally though. Of course he'd look amusingly rueful among a chaos of fruit and veg when you returned at least.
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| Quote ="Charlie Sheen"I'd agree with that, although why anyone thinks Johnson would be a good prime minister is beyond me. Sure, he's got that 'cuddly buffoon thing going for him, but underneath it all is basically a posh Donald Trump with a list of gaffs longer than John Holmes' kicking game.'"
Yeah I couldn't take Boris seriously as PM. I like him in a fun character way but that doesn't mean I'd want him as PM. Every time I see him I just picture him playing that game of rugby against school kids and trampling over one of them.
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| I see her right & left hands have both fallen on their swords.
She's damaged goods now & will have to go.
The country is in turmoil all thanks to Dave & Co.
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Yeah, I think May was lulled by the gushing praise she got in some quarters of the press, while labour and Corbyn learned how to deal with the brickbats.
In an unlikely re-run with the same leaders, May would have the benefit of experience but would receive a much harder time. Corbyn couldn't be so easily be dismissed.
The lessons of last time might not be that much use next time. May might make a Corbyn-sequel recovery, but at the moment a painful, protracted political demise looks like a win for her. Still it's all about performance relative to expectation I guess!'" This election was pretty much a question of policy (Labour) vs stable leadership ahead of Brexit (Conservatives). The latter has been blown apart by this result, as has the demand for a second Scottish referendum which is what caused the unusual result there. If another election was called it would have to be fought strictly on policy, Labour vs Conservative, the Tories would have to try and shake off the stink of incompetence that they now have and find policies which would appeal to the wider public more than Corbyn's Labour manifesto while maintaining their Conservative values and somehow not alienating the right wing vote which would quickly abandon them if they softened their position too much. Really difficult position for them to be in and I could see them taking a heavy defeat next time unless Brexit drastically changes things.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Yeah I couldn't take Boris seriously as PM. I like him in a fun character way but that doesn't mean I'd want him as PM. Every time I see him I just picture him playing that game of rugby against school kids and trampling over one of them.'"
Ah yes
There's also this...
Or this...
Or this
That's how I imagine him entering the Brexit negotiations
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| Boris should not be under estimated - he has a tremendous intellect, he has run one of the biggest cities in world.
He may appear a fool but compared to Corbyn he is an intellectual giant. What has Corbyn ever done outside of politics?
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"On paper, May is best placed to lead the UK. Which is not to say well placed. The problem is she'll be fending of the sharks in her own party (and given it's the Tory party that is a lot of sharks), while trying to negotiate brexit and appease her deeply unimpressed press baron patrons and DUP props.
Hammond's got less charisma than her, Johnson is a clown, and any moderates would be torn apart by their hard right nut job element. So David Davis it is then. Poor nice bloke.
Meanwhile a Labour Party for whom obituitaries were being written has a chance to get its poop together. Which it really, really needs to do, I admit - but at least now there is hope.'"
Unlikely she will have as many sharks as Corbyn had in his party - how many shadow cabinet ministers resigned giving him a vote of no confidence?
One thing is for certain - the Tories will run a different campaign next time and they will know what to expect from Labour also Burnham will be a different proposition. You can't run a US type campaign fronted by somebody who simply doesn't really want to engage with anyone.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Unlikely she will have as many sharks as Corbyn had in his party - how many shadow cabinet ministers resigned giving him a vote of no confidence?
'"
She's in the Tory party, they're all sharks.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"Unlikely she will have as many sharks as Corbyn had in his party - how many shadow cabinet ministers resigned giving him a vote of no confidence.
One thing is for certain - the Tories will run a different campaign next time and they will know what to expect from Labour also Burnham will be a different proposition. You can't run a US type campaign fronted by somebody who simply doesn't really want to engage with anyone.'"
Labour's problem, which goes back at least a generation, is whether it is primarily a socialist party or social Democratic Party. Disloyalty to the leader, whether the left's towards Blair or Blairites towards Corbyn is born of a different political philosophy. It remains a huge challenge, as a successful party has to be a broad church, while still setting out a single clear and coherent vision.
They're politicians, so they play the game, brutally sometimes, but winning is, usually at least in part, a means to another end.
Recent and prospective Tory PMs just seem to want the crown for itself. It comes to something when Simon Schama, the David Attenborough of history, questions whether May even has any political convictions. Seriously, I'm struggling to come up with a couple of principles that May or Johnson stand for. Not just an aspiration to something desirable, but a philosophy - or even just a concept or medium-sized idea.
Any advances on 'free market capitalism' and, erm... 'Pragmatism'.
Austerity I'd count as a policy and fiscal responsibility is a behaviour.
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| Quote ="Charlie Sheen"She's in the Tory party, they're all sharks.'"
And the Labour party is what? Depends which union is paying their wages?
It is difficult to see where the Labour party go from here. They offered everything to everyone, they can up against a shambles of an opponent and they still couldn't win?
What more can they offer as a bribe next time?
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Labour's problem, which goes back at least a generation, is whether it is primarily a socialist party or social Democratic Party. Disloyalty to the leader, whether the left's towards Blair or Blairites towards Corbyn is born of a different political philosophy. It remains a huge challenge, as a successful party has to be a broad church, while still setting out a single clear and coherent vision.
They're politicians, so they play the game, brutally sometimes, but winning is, usually at least in part, a means to another end.
Recent and prospective Tory PMs just seem to want the crown for itself. It comes to something when Simon Schama, the David Attenborough of history, questions whether May even has any political convictions. Seriously, I'm struggling to come up with a couple of principles that May or Johnson stand for. Not just an aspiration to something desirable, but a philosophy - or even just a concept or medium-sized idea.
Any advances on 'free market capitalism' and, erm... 'Pragmatism'.
Austerity I'd count as a policy and fiscal responsibility is a behaviour.'"
This depends on where you see balancing the deficit - is it even important? If you believe it is then you either increase revenue or you cut costs? Their doesn't seem a will to increase personal taxation for the majority so what do you do to balance the books?
I actually think the majority do better under the Tories than under Labour. Capitalism has its faults but it does appear to be the only wealth generating option. Socialism/Marxism/Communism simply do not work so what is the alternative?
Johnson is a typical right winger - support business and that will solve your problems provided the cost of the state is controlled.
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| Corbyn thinks he can oust May as early as the Queens Speech. If he does, I predict another GE in which Labour get trounced.
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| Quote ="Sal Paradise"This depends on where you see balancing the deficit - is it even important? If you believe it is then you either increase revenue or you cut costs? Their doesn't seem a will to increase personal taxation for the majority so what do you do to balance the books?
I actually think the majority do better under the Tories than under Labour. Capitalism has its faults but it does appear to be the only wealth generating option. Socialism/Marxism/Communism simply do not work so what is the alternative?
Johnson is a typical right winger - support business and that will solve your problems provided the cost of the state is controlled.'"
Containing the deficit or balancing the budget is just an aspiration. Like providing good healthcare or reducing crime. In terms of how you do it, taking steps to reduce tax avoidance is a minimum first step. That'd require a nuanced approach admittedly, but first of all you need the will, which I believe the Tories lack. Also you can adopt policies to foster growth, as a plausible alternative to austerity. And let's not forget that it was de-regulated market capitalism that caused the global economic crisis.
Johnson is a bright enough guy, but he's a bit of an empty vessel.
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| On reflection, if Corbyn does defeat May in an early parliamentary vote his one tactic that could work would be to offer to be PM of a coalition including Tories. If he publicly reached out to Tories in the national interest and they rejected him forcing an election that could work against the Tories.
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| Quote ="PCollinson1990"Yes, he'd have cheerfully sat by and watched hundreds massacred on the bridge with a no "shoot to kill" policy. He's an imbecile.'"
I'd be careful to make sure I knew what I was talking about before calling people imbeciles tbh.
We don't have a shoot to kill policy for the obvious reason that you can't get information from a corpse. The only time that the police will shoot someone dead is if there is an imminent and serious risk to life.
Corbyn said he was against a blanket shoot to kill policy that was being proposed after Paris.
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| Quote ="TrinityIHC"I'd be careful to make sure I knew what I was talking about before calling people imbeciles tbh.
We don't have a shoot to kill policy for the obvious reason that you can't get information from a corpse. The only time that the police will shoot someone dead is if there is an imminent and serious risk to life.
Corbyn said he was against a blanket shoot to kill policy that was being proposed after Paris.'"
I do know what I am talking about, he's a pacifist terrorism apologist and has admitted he wouldn't have the mettle to press the button if the time came. He's better off pottering in a shed and missing open goals, the guy can't even muster a high five!
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| Quote ="PCollinson1990"I do know what I am talking about, he's a pacifist terrorism apologist and has admitted he wouldn't have the mettle to press the button if the time came. He's better off pottering in a shed and missing open goals, the guy can't even muster a high five!'"
It's not a matter of mettle! To be honest if there is a nuclear holocaust heading this way then it doesn't matter 1 jot if we launch our nukes or not because we will all be dead. Only Russia and USA could conceivably attack the UK and either one of them would destroy us with no difficulty at all.
They are there as a deterrent and as soon as someone launches one, the whole system fails.
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| The difference was Labours offer to remove Uni fee's , priming an increased vote by those it affects , the young voters , their parents and grandparents
The issue is , could/can Labour deliver that , and all the other promises ?
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| Quote ="GUBRATS"The difference was Labours offer to remove Uni fee's , priming an increased vote by those it affects , the young voters , their parents and grandparents
The issue is , could/can Labour deliver that , and all the other promises ?'"
the could offer and say what they liked as they were never going to win enough seats to make them actually have to try do it!
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| Quote ="Mild Rover"Containing the deficit or balancing the budget is just an aspiration. Like providing good healthcare or reducing crime. In terms of how you do it, taking steps to reduce tax avoidance is a minimum first step. That'd require a nuanced approach admittedly, but first of all you need the will, which I believe the Tories lack. Also you can adopt policies to foster growth, as a plausible alternative to austerity. And let's not forget that it was de-regulated market capitalism that caused the global economic crisis.
Johnson is a bright enough guy, but he's a bit of an empty vessel.'"
You really do under estimate Johnson - underneath the bluster is a guy with a deep understanding of the issues at hand. One thing is for sure he has a lot more to offer than the likes of Jeremy, John and Emily.
What policies did Labour offer that would foster growth?
All Labour offered was to take more money from the very people who generate the growth and increase the size and cost of the state?
No chance to reduce tax avoidance - this is a global issue - and their will always be loopholes that the clever can exploit. There will also be countries that see the benefit of increasing their tax take via lower rates of taxation. I come back to point that tax avoidance is all about paying the correct tax in line with the law.
It was one element - banking - that caused the global issues - normal businesses even the big ones never changed their behaviour.
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| Quote ="brearley84"the could offer and say what they liked as they were never going to win enough seats to make them actually have to try do it!'"
Indeed
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| Quote ="brearley84"the could offer and say what they liked as they were never going to win enough seats to make them actually have to try do it!'"
Interesting use of "never"
The Tories, despite having a 20% lead in the polls when May "changed her mind", again and called an election, couldnt muster an overall majority and had they not jumped in bed with the Unionists, they couldnt form a government.
We will all have another chance to vote within the next 12 months so, we'll see what happens then.
Maybe The Tories will get their act together or, perhaps Labour will gain power.
What we have is a very, very fragile government, a slowing economy and the EU hierarchy laughing at us, I'm sure that Mrs May is very proud of her efforts
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