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| What seems to be confusing people is the definition of luck and it's relation to probability.
I am in no way suggesting that luck replaces mathematical probability and if you're arguing against a belief in luck as a force which makes thing happen then I am on your side because that's simply not true.
However in the context of luck simply being an expression of an occurrence of an unlikely event or sequence of events then it is certainly valid and someone encountering an improbable event can be classed as lucky (or unlucky) to have encountered them.
If it makes you feel nice superior then feel free to replace the phrase "luck" with "having an unlikely even out of their control benefit/hamper them" if you like, it's up to you but I'll keep using the abbreviated term in common usage, safe in the knowledge that I understand the luck fairy had nothing to do with the extreme edges of the normal distribution curve
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| What about Lucky David Baildon then?
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| I've had enough I'm going on a lucky strike
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| Quote ="withernsea zebra"Let's all be friends today.
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We always are,its just like family arguments.
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| Quote ="RugbyVillasBoy"What seems to be confusing people is the definition of luck and it's relation to probability.
I am in no way suggesting that luck replaces mathematical probability and if you're arguing against a belief in luck as a force which makes thing happen then I am on your side because that's simply not true.
However in the context of luck simply being an expression of an occurrence of an unlikely event or sequence of events then it is certainly valid and someone encountering an improbable event can be classed as lucky (or unlucky) to have encountered them.
If it makes you feel nice superior then feel free to replace the phrase "luck" with "having an unlikely even out of their control benefit/hamper them" if you like, it's up to you but I'll keep using the abbreviated term in common usage, safe in the knowledge that I understand the luck fairy had nothing to do with the extreme edges of the normal distribution curve
'"
Precisely what I've been attempting to explain.
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| No such thing as luck?! I wore the same pants today as on Good Friday (yes, they'd been washed before you say anything). There you have it, indisputably lucky Easter pants.
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| Quote ="Kosh"Precisely what I've been attempting to explain.
'"
Just an low probability event occurring then rather than your mystical luck
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| Quote ="Staffs FC"icon_lol.gif
I've listened to Kylie Minogue and if she says there's such a thing as luck then I'm with her.'"
You're welcome to her now I've finished
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| Quote ="Jake the Peg"Just an low probability event occurring then rather than your mystical luck'"
Nice try, except that I specifically ruled out 'mystical' luck in around my second post on the subject.
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| Quote ="Kosh"Nice try, except that I specifically ruled out 'mystical' luck in around my second post on the subject.'"
So a naturally occuring event is luck then? OK
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| JTP @ B&W = WF @ SB.
Kosh will get it.
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| Quote ="Kosh"www.thefreedictionary.com/luck'"
Proves nothing. Your definition of luck is purely the occurrence of a low probability event which will happen if the action is carried out enough times. No luck involved
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| Quote ="Jake the Peg"Proves nothing. Your definition of luck is purely the occurrence of a low probability event which will happen if the action is carried out enough times. No luck involved'"
Nope. As I pointed out right at the start of this epic, [imy[/i definition of luck is:
Quote ="The Dictionary"1. The chance happening of fortunate or adverse events'"
The more rare the event, the greater the good/bad luck. What we've been getting into in the meantime is what constitutes chance and how it relates to probability theory. And we haven't even started on chaos theory yet.
As a matter of interest, what's [iyour[/i definition of luck?
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| Quote ="Kosh"Nope. As I pointed out right at the start of this epic, [imy[/i definition of luck is:
The more rare the event, the greater the good/bad luck. What we've been getting into in the meantime is what constitutes chance and how it relates to probability theory. And we haven't even started on chaos theory yet.
As a matter of interest, what's [iyour[/i definition of luck?'"
My definition of luck is mumbo jumbo dreamed up in the days when man started at the skies in wonderment at the heavens and believed that the stars were the spirits of their long lost ancestors. luck is a word made up to try and pass off infrequently occuring events as something out of the ordinary, which they aren't.
So, in [iyour[/i opinion, at what point does a normal occurrence become luck? is it when something which has a 1 in 50 chance of happening occurs? 1 in a hundred or maybe 1 in a million?
If I need to roll a 6 in a board game to start, the fact I may roll it on the first roll is not luck, it's just probability and if I did it on the 20th roll then it's not luck, just probability
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| Quote ="Jake the Peg"My definition of luck is mumbo jumbo dreamed up in the days when man started at the skies in wonderment at the heavens and believed that the stars were the spirits of their long lost ancestors. luck is a word made up to try and pass off infrequently occuring events as something out of the ordinary, which they aren't.
So, in [iyour[/i opinion, at what point does a normal occurrence become luck? is it when something which has a 1 in 50 chance of happening occurs? 1 in a hundred or maybe 1 in a million?
If I need to roll a 6 in a board game to start, the fact I may roll it on the first roll is not luck, it's just probability and if I did it on the 20th roll then it's not luck, just probability'"
Interesting stuff. So, whats the probability of Longy getting all these so called 'unlucky' injuries one after the other, compared to other players of his age in RL?
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| Quote ="tommyfromhull"Interesting stuff. So, whats the probability of Longy getting all these so called 'unlucky' injuries one after the other, compared to other players of his age in RL?'"
About 1 in every 3 matches he plays.
High risk signing as everyone said at the time and has proven to be the case. His body is busted. Sign older players with poor injury records and you get what you get
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| Quote ="Jake the Peg"My definition of luck is mumbo jumbo dreamed up in the days when man started at the skies in wonderment at the heavens and believed that the stars were the spirits of their long lost ancestors. luck is a word made up to try and pass off infrequently occuring events as something out of the ordinary, which they aren't.'"
Then you're wrong, which explains this thread.
Mystery solved.
Oh, and BTW - infrequently occurring events are - by definition - out of the ordinary.
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| Luck,will you two give over?
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| might be back for hudds game
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