Quote ="Chris28"Good idea. I seem to recall Clarkey saying it was going to analyse stats from the season to calculate the margins (such as tries scored when the set of 6 starts in a certain place) but it started with no information on which to base the predictions, which is why (imho) it looked ridiculous.'"
I find it hard to believe they would have started it with no information - as I don't think it would be able to work that way
The way I imagine it working (please bare in mind that I haven't read up on this) is that they will have a database which includes all of the stats from previous seasons and how many tries were scored.
A model will then be created which basically works out as (greatly simplified),
territory + meters gained + tackles completed = 7 tries
This will be done for each team (and possibly extrapolated to 80 minutes - another reason why it should only be used at half and full time)
so we would have,
Team A's stats = 6 tries
Team B's stats = 4 tries
Margin Metre = 12 points to Team A