Quote ="upthecats"We have been the best backed in the last couple of days in this betting market.
I merely started the thread because as 1) a Wakey fan and 2) someone who's been into betting all my life it interested me the way the bookies priced up the match...
For me it really is a 50/50 call...it's pointless pointing to Leeds record over us for the last decade and beyond because purely and simply over that period of time they were a far better team than us...are they now? They finished below us last season and are only above us on points difference...
Don't fall into the trap that the bookies are always right and they always win because they don't...this type of market is where professional gamblers make money...doing it professionally is all about value...if you look at a sporting event, horse race, whatever and you think the bookie has their percentages wrong then that's where you make it pay...we may well lose this game but overall, backing instances like this will see you in front in the long run...
Using Paddy Power as the example as they were the ones who went 4/9...the game obviously has three available outcomes and their rugby league experts will decide what percentage of chance each outcome has...in reality it should be worked out to a 100% book but obviously isn't otherwise they would go bankrupt...
So their odds are...
Leeds 4/9 - 69.2%
Wakefield 13/8 - 38.1%
Draw 20/1 - 4.8%
So basically PP think there's a near 70% chance that Leeds will win the game...if like me you think it's 50/50 at worst then Leeds at 4/9 are terrible value and Wakey would definitely be worth a few quid!'"
I've been into the horses for about 10yrs and have always found that getting the results are based on a few criteria.
1. If possible always pick the horse with a "pretty" name.
2. Pick the best "turned out" horse.
3. Pick one with smutty/childish innuendo names.
Failing that pick a "nice" number.
Hope that helps in future betting upthecats.