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| well yes. i dont mean better prices but do u usually get a few winners
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| Yeah i usually do alright. Obviously its a bigger risk as no certainties things are going to run at all , or even in the race you want it to, but thats why you get bigger prices. If it works out well then can be sat pretty with opportunity to play again on the day with something else if necessary.
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| Added Original at a monster 20/1 to the NRNB book late last week
Would love to see his 18.25HH frame in the winners enclosure on Tuesday
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| Quote ="Carneys Pint"Added Original at a monster 20/1 to the NRNB book late last week
Would love to see his 18.25HH frame in the winners enclosure on Tuesday'"
Good lad, i think he has an outside chance.
Massive, massive horse, and won the Wayward Lad at Kempton very well too.
He will definately take lengths out of the field at his fences with his sheer size.
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| Ante post bets
GB / Chelt 10th Mar / Champion Hrd Celestial Halo 15.5
GB / Chelt 12th Mar / World Hrd Big Bucks 6s
GB / Chelt 12th Mar / World Hrd TBP Lough Derg 16.3
GB / Chelt 12th Mar / World Hrd Kasbah Bliss 2.5
GB / Chelt 13th Mar / Gold Cup Denman 7s
GB / Chelt 13th Mar / Triumph Hrd TBP Mourad 10.5
Accumulator Master Minded, Kauto Star, Binocular, Kasbah Bliss.
Treble Kasbah Bliss, Master Minded, Binocular.
Kasbah Bliss is my main bet monster of a horse, also Celestial Halo just might be the one to storm up the hill past Binocular.
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| I wouldn't touch Kasbah Bliss at such a poor price. I'd rather be e/w on Blazing Bailey or Fair Along or something.
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| Quote ="Dave Lister"I wouldn't touch Kasbah Bliss at such a poor price. I'd rather be e/w on Blazing Bailey or Fair Along or something.'"
It was around 4s until it stormed home with ease at Aintree.
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| 1 day left
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| Quote ="Dave Lister"I wouldn't touch Kasbah Bliss at such a poor price. I'd rather be e/w on Blazing Bailey or Fair Along or something.'"
Even though i am loyal to the yard, Blazing Bailey has not run that well this season so far.
If you're looking for value, then Punchestowns at 4/1 would be the value in the race.
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| Quote ="Wire_85"It was around 4s until it stormed home with ease at Aintree.'"
Haydock.
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| Quote ="OoOGazOoO"If you're looking for value, then Punchestowns at 4/1 would be the value in the race.'"
Its pretty much a bet to nothing that isnt it with a fair chance of a win too.
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| Im confident he will turn around the form with Big Bucks from their last encounter. Big Bucks was recieving 8lbs that day and that was the main difference. Off level weights this time i think the form will be reversed.
Nicky Henderson also left work in Punchestowns following that race, to bring him on more for Cheltenham.
There is no doubting that Kasbah Bliss is a very classy horse, but Pieux won't wont to get to the front too soon this time which he did last year.
When Punchestowns won the Cotswold Hurdle in November, at Cheltenham, he wasn't stopping at the finish either, and definately makes it up the hill at Cheltenham.
You have to respect Kasbah Bliss, especially with the way he won at Haydock, but i think Punchestowns will come on a great deal from his last run.
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| Sizing Europe a doubt, and Cousin Vinny hasn't travlled over too well.
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| My Tips for Tuesday ...
13:30 Williamhill.com Supreme Novices' Hurdle (grade 1)
Aachen
14:05 Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase (grade 1)
Tatenen (FR)
14:40 William Hill Trophy Handicap Chase (grade 3)
Wichita Lineman (IRE)
15:20 Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (grade 1)
Binocular (FR)
16:00 Glenfarclas Handicap Chase (cross Country Chase)
Garde Champetre (FR)
16:40 David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle (grade 2)
Carole's Legacy
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| Looking forward to it, off work as well.
Couple of dead certs in my opinion.
Masterminded, Kasbah Bliss and Kauto Star.
Fancy Denman, Brave Inca and Big Bucks in an E/W Treble as well.
Avoiding Binocular like the plague, don't think it can handle the hill.
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| Mullins is giving great word about his Arkle chance, Golden Silver 20/1, the horse beat some of his race rivals last time out at Lepordstown and thinks he will be there about come the end.
Maybe a horse to include in a Lucky 15.
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| Quote ="Latchford Wolvesfan"Mullins is giving great word about his Arkle chance, Golden Silver 20/1, the horse beat some of his race rivals last time out at Lepordstown and thinks he will be there about come the end.
Maybe a horse to include in a Lucky 15.'"
The ground was absolutely bottomless though.
The horse won well, but i think the others could reverse the form on better ground.
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| Who's everyone opting for tomorrow then? I'll post my selections after a final review later on.
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| Quote ="Latchford Wolvesfan"Looking forward to it, off work as well.
Couple of dead certs in my opinion.
Masterminded, Kasbah Bliss and Kauto Star.
Fancy Denman, Brave Inca and Big Bucks in an E/W Treble as well.
Avoiding Binocular like the plague, don't think it can handle the hill.'"
Very Confident in Binocular - saw him at Haydock and was in awe, a fantastic Horse and McCoy loves to ride him.
Don't think Kasbah Bliss will win the World Hurdle, will be backing Big Bucks or Punchestown.
As for the Gold Cup, I don't think Kauto can win. I would like The Queen's Horse - Barber Shop to win but think i'll be backing Neptune Collonges also.
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| Supreme Novice - Red Moloney
Arkle - Forpadydeplaster
WH Trophy - Caillin Alainn
Champ Hurdle - Jered
Cross Country - Dix Villex
Mares Hurdle - Oscar Rebel
Good luck everybody
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| Rumour that Cousin Vinny didn't eat up well this morning and could even be NR?
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| Quote ="Dave Lister"Rumour that Cousin Vinny didn't eat up well this morning and could even be NR?'"
Would be a disaster for the Owners but would also even the race up.
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| Cousin Vinny didn't travel well but other than that he's fine.
Supreme - Kangaroo Court (each way) - good solid form and romped home at Doncaster before running into a very nice horse in Karabak last time out. Stamina test will help and appreciates a sound surface (though handles soft). Best Price: 28/1 - VC, Sportingbet, Paddy Power, Hills
Arkle - Original (each way) - huge beast of a horse, winning form in France but turned the Wayward Lad into a procession at Kempton over Christmas and has been targeted at this race since by trainer Marcel Rolland. He's huge (18.25HH) and has been at Jean-Rene Auvray's Lambourn yard for the past week or so. Best Price: 18/1 Stan James
William Hill Chase - Golden Flight (each way) - Grade 1 class over in France and though making his UK debut he's with a trainer who's been known to get one ready for the Festival off a big lay off (The Bushkeeper and Non So spring to mind). Best Price: 25/1 Hills
Champion Hurdle - Othermix (each way) - Monster price for a horse who was just a couple of lengths behind Hurricane Fly (would have been fav for the Supeme Novices) at Auteuil last year. Since been bought by new owners and moved to Tom Georges (7 wins in last 13 runners prior to today). Already backed him myself at big prices and expect a big run though will come on for the run. Best Price: 150/1 VC
Cross-Country Chase - Garde Champetre(each way) - Enda Bolger farms this week year in year out and in Garde Champetre he's found another real lover of the course. Second favourite in the betting behind stablemate L'Ami but he has the Queen of Cross Country Nina Carberry on board tommorow and is likely to go close. Best Price: 4/1 Betfred and VC
Mares Hurdle - Oscar Rebel (each way) - Already advised a bet of Quevega in the race but she's now too short to consider backing. Her compatriot Oscar Rebel is a progressive young horse who brings good soft and good ground form into the race including in open company. Best Price: 14/1 Hills
Good luck to those already on the advised selections
Hope the RLFans guys (and girls) give the bookies a pasting tomorrow.
Martin
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| Well ive hedged a bit more this year antepost so im sat on the following.
Supreme Novices-
Ainama 14s e/w
Go Native 14s e/w
Arkle -
Calgary Bay 12s e/w
Tatenen 6s e/w
Will Hill -
Maljimar 25s e/w
Wind Instrument 40s e/w
Champion Hurdle -
Binocular 8s e/w
Punjabi 9s e/w w/o Binocular
Ashkazar 25s e/w
Won In the Dark 9s - Leading Irish runner
If they finish in that order too
Mares -
Quevega 25s e/w
Oscar Rebel 16s e/w
May look at a couple of win bets tomorrow on Torphicen and Patsy Hall but will see as im already on a battering i guess.
Good luck all
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| For Tuesday, FWIW:
Supreme Novices: AACHEN
Arkle: TARTAK
William Hill: CAILIN ALAINN
Champion Hurdle: OSANA
Cross Country: GARDE CHAMPETRE
Mares Hurdle: CAROLE'S LEGACY
I expect I'll be laying all the favourites as well. As usual
Good luck folks.
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