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| The race for the Championship top 4 is really tense. Looking at the remaining fixtures the only way I can see Leigh breaking into the top 4 is if Toronto and Toulouse win all their remaining games, specifically the ones below. How ironic that some on here are likley to be backing those two clubs for the next four weeks.
Toulouse v London
Halifax v Toulouse
Toronto v Featherstone
Current table
Toronto 35
Toulouse 28
Featherstone 28
Halifax 27
London 26
Leigh 24
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| It won't register my attempt to vote for some reason. I would have voted Toronto, Toulouse, Featherstone and Leigh.
As Toronto are already guaranteed to make the top 4 do they really need to be in the poll though?
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| Making an assumption that the top 6 will beat their bottom 6 opposition when they play them, and Toronto win all their remaining games, then the only way that Leigh maybe don't make the top 4 is if 4 out of these 5 games finish with...
- London beat Toulouse today
- Fax beat Fev tomorrow
- London beat Fax
- Fev beat London
- Fax beat Toulouse
... in which case Fax will be 2nd on 33 points with the other 4 all on 32 points. So, down to points difference for 3rd to 6th - with Leigh quite likely to have overhauled the others given the assumption that they win all 4 games against bottom 6 opposition. A different result in one of these games means someone finishes on 30 or 31 points (and 6th place), in which case it's Leigh and one other team on 32 points.
32 points is likely to see any team in the top 4, with only an unlikely set of results resulting in anyone missing out on points difference.
Of course, if any of the top 6 slip up against bottom 6 opposition, or if Fev somehow manage to win in Toronto then this all changes.
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| Still think Leigh will get in. Given the amount of games the other sides have against each other. Be tight though.
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| Clickbait thread.....well done, I clicked!
We already have such a poll started by another poster (sic)
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| Haven't you already done a poll similar to this
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| The original post here was actually fairly sensible, other than the referral to Leigh, when it turned into the same old troll post. Other than Toronto, Leigh are probably most likely to join them in the top 4 given the remaining fixtures (especially with TO failing to beat London today). Fax need to win 3 from 4.
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| Quote ="Sir Kevin Sinfield"The race for the Championship top 4 is really tense. Looking at the remaining fixtures[u the only way I can see Leigh breaking into the top 4 is if Toronto and Toulouse win all their remaining games, [/uspecifically the ones below. How ironic that some on here are likley to be backing those two clubs for the next four weeks.
Toulouse v London
Halifax v Toulouse
Toronto v Featherstone
Current table
Toronto 35
Toulouse 28
Featherstone 28
Halifax 27
London 26
Leigh 24'"
Why are you so concerned whether Leigh get top 4 or not? (you are obviously worried), you are really obsessed with Leigh aren't you?
If Leigh do get in that top 4, then Toronto will have the shock of their lives,because Leigh and the other two will step up, and all the 4 Superleague clubs will put them to the sword.
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| Quote ="Call Me God"Clickbait thread.....well done, I clicked!
We already have such a poll started by another poster (sic)'"
The 2 polls ask significantly different questions: one asks 'who do you [ithink will make it (Top 4)'[/i and the other 'who do you [iwant to be promoted[/i'............
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| Quote ="Mr Dog"The 2 polls ask significantly different questions: one asks 'who do you [ithink will make it (Top 4)'[/i and the other 'who do you [iwant to be promoted[/i'............'"
No, they are identical.
I hope no team gets promoted, none deserve it. Back to franchising for me, leave the minnows to flounder.
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| No they are not identical, the teams I want to be promoted are unlikely to be the ones I think will be promoted.
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| Leigh will finish on 32 points. They have a very positive points difference which is only going to get better with 3 more wins. So any other club wanting to be in the top 4 needs to beat this total.
Toronto are in.
Toulouse (Barrow, Halifax and Dewsbury left) have a good points difference and need 3 more points. They should beat Barrow and Dewsbury, so they're in, irrespective of the Halifax result.
Halifax (London, Toulouse and Rochdale left) absolutely have to win at least two of these. Rochdale should be a banker, but they need a win against London or Toulouse.
Featherstone (Swinton, London and Toronto) will likely lose at Toronto and will likely win at Swinton. So they have to beat London to have a chance.
London (Halifax, Featherstone and Barrow) have to win all three.
Likely outcome of those crucial games where these clubs play each other, based on current league positions:
Toulouse (W) v Halifax
London v Halifax (W)
Fev(W) v London
Fev v Toronto (W)
Finishing points:
Toronto - 43
Toulouse - 35
Halifax - 33
Featherstone - 32
Leigh - 32
London - 29
Leigh or Featherstone would then qualify on points difference. You'd expect Leigh to rack up more in their three wins against lower teams than fev will in their two wins against upper teams. Also, Toronto have been handing out big thumpings in Canada, and Featherstone might be in trouble there.
Couple of wildcards.
Halifax play Toulouse in Halifax. Not impossible to see that as a Halifax win. In which case Fax finish on 35, and Toulouse are on 33. But both would still be safe.
On the other hand, Halifax play London at London, and as London will be desperate next week, there could be a loss there. That would be great news for Leigh fans, as it would almost certainly put Halifax out of the picture, without putting London in it, with both finishing on 31 points, and Leigh on 4th without needing to rely on points difference.
Of course, there might be shocks from the lower teams along the way, but it seems unlikely. Which means that for Leigh fans, they'll be cheering on London against Fax, and cheering on Toronto to rack up a big score against Featherstone. It would also be better on balance for Toulouse to beat Fax.
Given the predispositions of some posters on this board, I find it a delicious irony that Leigh fans will almost certainly be relying on the three expansion teams of Toronto, Toulouse and London to keep their hopes of a top four place alive.
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| Updated table
Toronto 37 +422
Toulouse 29 +375
Halifax 29 +192
Featherstone 28 +332
London 27 +409
Leigh 26 +269
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| Quote ="Roy Haggerty"
Finishing points:
Toronto - 43
Toulouse - 35
Halifax - 33
Featherstone - 32
Leigh - 32
London - 29
'"
London Leigh and Toronto are the only ones to leave France with any points yet you have us losing to Fax at Home and then away to Fev, who we dismantled earlier in the season...? I see London winning all three which will suit Leigh
Toronto 43
Toulouse 35
London 33
Leigh 32
Fax 31
Fev 30
I hope nobody goes up, because with Bradford in this mix next year, the Championship will AGAIN be more exciting than the stupor League.....and Toronto will have to travel each week........
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| Quote ="Roy Haggerty"Leigh will finish on 32 points. They have a very positive points difference which is only going to get better with 3 more wins. So any other club wanting to be in the top 4 needs to beat this total.
'"
Did you look at the league table before you posted this? Out of the top 6, only Halifax have a worse points difference than Leigh. Fev are 60+ points better off and London a whopping 140!
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| Quote ="Call Me God"
I hope nobody goes up, because with Bradford in this mix next year, the Championship will AGAIN be more exciting than the stupor League.....and Toronto will have to travel each week........'"
Widnes and/or Salford will be relegated IMO
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| Quote ="Nothus"Did you look at the league table before you posted this? Out of the top 6, only Halifax have a worse points difference than Leigh. Fev are 60+ points better off and London a whopping 140!'"
I did. But if Leigh win their last 3 games by 30 point differences, which is entirely feasible given they're playing three semi-pro teams at the bottom of the table, then their points difference changes dramatically. And as their PD rises, the PD of any club above them which loses a game will be heading down at the same time.
TBH, unless Toronto give out a massive beating to Fev, then Fev should be safe, as they would add to their PD if they won their other 2 games, and they're the only ones likely to be on the same number of league points as Leigh. So I don't think PD will come into the mix, really.
Every team in that top 6 except Leigh still has their own destiny in their hands. Leigh need results to go a certain way eve if they win all their remaining 3 fixtures. Everyone else can guarantee their place by winning their matches. Certainly if those clubs can't sell tickets off the back of that, then they should have a word with themselves.
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| There are three key games between London & Fax, Fax & TO and Fev & London before the end of the season. Making some (possibly rash) assumptions about the other games (the top 6 teams beat bottom 6 opponents when they play them, and Toronto beat Fev), then there are 8 possible scenarios based on the outcome of these (with another assumption that there isn't a draw involved in these three games).
- TO will make the top 4.
- Fax would miss out on the top 4 if they lose both games.
- Fev need to beat London but will still be battling with Leigh on points difference unless Fax lose both games.
- London need to beat both Fax and Fev to be in the top 4.
- Leigh will be in the top 4 or possibly battling with Fev on points difference, unless Fax beat TO, London beat Fax and London beat Fev (leaves Fax, London and TO all on 33 points and Leigh miss out).
Other than probably unlikely wins for Dewsbury, Sheffield, Swinton or Rochdale, what could possibly change this would be Barrow beating either TO or London at home or Fev managing to beat Toronto (if they rest players).
London vs Fax first up this weekend, and Sky are (IMO) missing a trick by not televising these games.
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| Featherstone and Toulouse have both won by massive margins today, vastly improving their points difference, should it come down to that.
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| Featherstone v London and Halifax v Toulouse next week, as well as potentially Toronto v Featherstone the week after are massively important games.
Updated table
Toronto 39 +468
Toulouse 31 +439
Featherstone 30 +388
London 29 +411
Halifax 29 +190
Leigh 28 +291
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| Quote ="Roy Haggerty"
<snip>
London v Halifax (W)
<snip>
On the other hand, Halifax play London at London, and as London will be desperate next week, there could be a loss there. That would be great news for Leigh fans, as it would almost certainly put Halifax out of the picture, without putting London in it, with both finishing on 31 points, and Leigh on 4th without needing to rely on points difference.
<snip>
'"
Other than you were wrong about the result, how has London winning "not put them in the picture"?
London win their last 2 games and they are in.......the 4th placed side will come from three teams, Fev, Fax and Leigh.....and my money is on Halifax!
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| Quote ="Call Me God"Other than you were wrong about the result, how has London winning "not put them in the picture"?
London win their last 2 games and they are in.......the 4th placed side will come from three teams, Fev, Fax and Leigh.....and my money is on Halifax!'"
The big game for Leigh is the Toulouse one. If they beat Halifax, Leigh are guaranteed top 4.
If London beat Fev, the likleyhood is that they will finish 3rd with Fax and fev missing out (unless something very strange happens at Toronto)
If Fev beat London, doesnt matter as Leigh will be in 4th place with one round to go anyway.
Both of these games are Huge.
Irrespective, Leigh will need to pile on the points.
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| How are 6th placed Leigh guaranteed top 4 if one of Toulouse’s fixtures go in their favour?
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| Quote ="Sir Kevin Sinfield"How are 6th placed Leigh guaranteed top 4 if one of Toulouse’s fixtures go in their favour?'"
Not guaranteed of course, but on the assumption Leigh win both theirs and end up on 32
Toulouse beat Fax, mean's Fax can only get 31
Fev beat London, means London can only get 31
London beat Fev, the assumption is that Fev lose in Toronto Fev end up on 30
Like I say no guarantees, but far more interesting than SL at this stage of the season - in fact is there even a thread about who will end up bottom 4 of SL
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| Quote ="ColD"Not guaranteed of course, but on the assumption Leigh win both theirs and end up on 32
Toulouse beat Fax, mean's Fax can only get 31
Fev beat London, means London can only get 31
London beat Fev, the assumption is that Fev lose in Toronto Fev end up on 30
Like I say no guarantees, but far more interesting than SL at this stage of the season - in fact is there even a thread about who will end up bottom 4 of SL'"
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