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| has anyone got the fixture format for the super 8's and how they're worked out?
i'm sure that frosties will know the answer
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| Currently ours is:
Home - Wigan, St Helens, Salford, Hull FC
Away - Castleford, Wakefield, Huddersfield.
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| cheers fosties i knew you'd know,although the image doesn't open for the fixture format
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| That's a really costly loss for Wigan tonight. We've got a chance of pretty much ending their top 4 chances next week when we go there. They'll need to be much much better than they were tonight because they were very poor.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"That's a really costly loss for Wigan tonight. We've got a chance of pretty much ending their top 4 chances next week when we go there. They'll need to be much much better than they were tonight because they were very poor.'"
You'll beat us easily. Scoreline might be close but the game won't be! Leeds are still my bet for a SL and CC double.
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| Guaranteed 2nd place now (congrats Lioner 81 ) so fixtures we get are
Home vs 3rd - 4th - 6th -7th
Away vs 1st - 5th - 8th
Cas away is now guaranteed, other positions tbd but a if we beat Wigan away next week we'd condemn them to 8th spot and book another away trip to the DW.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Guaranteed 2nd place now (congrats Lioner 81
) so fixtures we get are
Home vs 3rd - 4th - 6th -7th
Away vs 1st - 5th - 8th
Cas away is now guaranteed, other positions tbd but a if we beat Wigan away next week we'd condemn them to 8th spot and book another away trip to the DW.'"
Wouldn't ever wish us getting beat but next week we'd be better for it. We've got 2nd in the bag so rest a few players for the semi final. Warrington win, Wigan win, Hull FC win, Salford win, St Helens win, Castleford win.
Looks much better in the eights with:
Home - Salford, St Helens, Hull FC, Wigan.
Away - Castleford, Huddersfield, Wakefield.
Than:
Home - Salford, Wakefield, Huddersfield, St Helens.
Away - Castleford, Hull FC, Wigan.
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| Quote ="Frosties."Wouldn't ever wish us getting beat but next week we'd be better for it. We've got 2nd in the bag so rest a few players for the semi final. Warrington win, Wigan win, Hull FC win, Salford win, St Helens win, Castleford win.
Looks much better in the eights with:
Home - Salford, St Helens, Hull FC, Wigan.
Away - Castleford, Huddersfield, Wakefield.
Than:
Home - Salford, Wakefield, Huddersfield, St Helens.
Away - Castleford, Hull FC, Wigan.'"
Fancy Wakey to beat Saints and think with one eye of the SF that Hull could slip up at home vs Hudds which would then leave
Home - Salford (3rd) Wakey (4th) Hudds (6th) Saints (7th)
Away - Cas (1st) Hull (5th) Wigan (8th)
Thing is with a win away to Wigan next week we reach 32 points which would put us one foot into the playoffs before the 8's start imo. Think we'd only need to win 3 of our 8's fixtures then to get 2nd spot which I think could be achieved with 38 points.
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| Despite thinking we'd finish 6th at the start of the year & our best chance of silverware being the CC i now don't fear any of the other teams in the top 8.
Of course Wigan away is ALWAYS a tough game for us & we haven't looked like beating Cas all year but i think we should have enough to now secure 2nd then it's anybodies & no-one knows how Cas will handle it.
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| Quote ="RHINO-MARK"Despite thinking we'd finish 6th at the start of the year & our best chance of silverware being the CC i now don't fear any of the other teams in the top 8.
Of course Wigan away is ALWAYS a tough game for us & we haven't looked like beating Cas all year but i think we should have enough to now secure 2nd then it's anybodies & no-one knows how Cas will handle it.'"
Agreed mark i thought the same, but like you say we are in the mix and there is nobody to fear.
I feel we have as good a chance as any of winning SL now and i include Cas in that who are the team to beat.would love it if it was a GF us and them.
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| I think the next 4 games are key to where we finish starting with Wigan next week
If we get to the CC Final we know our record is not good afterwards. In the 7 regular games after the 14 & 15 finals we only won one of those and that was the last second try by Hall against Hudds.
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| I think given their position wigan could throw everything at the cup.
I said before the Q/F's the two who reach the final will struggle to reach the GF. I still think that.
having said that I think we have a great chance of winning one or the other.
sneaky feeling hull could do us but we win the GF. i'd take either though
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| Quote ="tad rhino"I think given their position wigan could throw everything at the cup.
I said before the Q/F's the two who reach the final will struggle to reach the GF. I still think that.
having said that I think we have a great chance of winning one or the other.
sneaky feeling hull could do us but we win the GF. i'd take either though'"
I thought the same about whoever reaches the CC final will struggle to reach the GF mostly because of losing league games post Wembley. But now we've opened up a 4 point gap in 2nd, if we can expend that to 6pts maybe even 8pts before Wembley (IF we get there which is most certainly far from a given) that would provide some breathing room post Wembley.
If we were to face the likes of Salford and Wakey pre Wembley that would help.
Interestingly now I think if Hull win the semi final they might miss out on a playoff spot. Currently out of the top 4 ATM and 6 losses in their last 9 league games. They equally struggled post Wembley as we did in the 2 previous years.
Wigan are clinging on by their fingernails, Saints away form is woeful......so Wakefield should really fancy their chances imo of getting a playoff spot.
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| Friday's game is a massive one for Wigan, and I think The Silverback will have them pumped up to the hilt for it. Leeds win, and it's Wigan's League campaign over for me, Wigan win, and dependent on results elsewhere, they could only be 3 points off a semi final place with the Super8's to play. Anybody who thinks Wigan are even considering putting the cue on the rack to concentrate on the Challenge Cup is being a bit naive I think. A defeat for them Friday would drain some belief, but a win could kick start their season with what is now a near full squad to select from. Having seen our post C.C . Final form in previous seasons, I think it would be foolhardy to star "saving" players for the upcoming semi. The 2 points available could be massive in a couple of months. A drop in form and going to Cas for a play off semi final anybody ? Nah, me neither.
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| Quote ="leeds owl"Anybody who thinks Wigan are even considering putting the cue on the rack to concentrate on the Challenge Cup is being a bit naive I think. A defeat for them Friday would drain some belief, but a win could kick start their season with what is now a near full squad to select from.'"
Wouldn't go as far as saying they'll have the cue on the rack already especially Wane, but their players will know where they are in the league table and now it's slim to make top 4.
They've had starters back for a few weeks now, did enough to avoid bottom 4 and Thursdays performance looked like a team who didn't think they could still reach the playoffs. Add in what Wane was fuming about afterwards saying he expected a huge effort for O'Loughlin's 400th game and they were comfortably out enthused by a Wire team already condemned to bottom 4.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Wouldn't go as far as saying they'll have the cue on the rack already especially Wane, but their players will know where they are in the league table and now it's slim to make top 4.
They've had starters back for a few weeks now, did enough to avoid bottom 4 and Thursdays performance looked like a team who didn't think they could still reach the playoffs. Add in what Wane was fuming about afterwards saying he expected a huge effort for O'Loughlin's 400th game and they were comfortably out enthused by a Wire team already condemned to bottom 4.'"
You need to factor in the Perpignan effect. I was over there last week and it was around the 30 degree mark also very humid. On Thursday v Wire, Wigan lacked energy, especially in the last 20 minutes. Yesterday the Wigan u19's who also played in Perpignan last week really struggled v Huddersfield and only just won.
I notice today Catalan have fallen apart in the last 10/15 minutes at Saints after only trailing by two points.
I do agree however that much will depend on the Challenge Cup semi final results, AND the fixture scheduling, you wouldn't want to play Cas the week prior to or the week after a Wembley final.
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| nobody has mentioned injuries either. all clubs have 2/3 keys players who if they are lost to injury will struggle big time. for us, obviously, its parcell and cuthbertson. keeping key players fit is a must this season
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| Quote ="Rogues Gallery"I do agree however that much will depend on the Challenge Cup semi final results, AND the fixture scheduling, you wouldn't want to play Cas the week prior to or the week after a Wembley final.'"
Ideally you'd want to face Cas in the last few weeks when they've more than likely already claim the LLS and could have their foot off the gas and resting players. Likewise any team that is mathematically out of the running which looks like it'll take longer to happen this year.
Personally for Leeds wouldn't mind taking on Salford and Wakefield early rounds of the 8's and trying to extend our lead in 2nd place. If Hull beat us in the semi final then play them either side of Wembley.
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| I actually think losing Galloway will have more of an impact than some people think.
Whilst not spectacular he does the hard yards that others are going to have to cover.
The same applies to Ferres who again gets some stick but both him and Galloway add that bit of experience to the pack.
Hopefully the pitches dry out and the sun starts to shine and we can start moving the ball about with quick play the balls.
For me Saints are still a threat as i predicted several weeks ago.
Let's hope they lose their next game.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Wouldn't go as far as saying they'll have the cue on the rack already especially Wane, but their players will know where they are in the league table and now it's slim to make top 4'"
It's slim, but not that slim. Look how Hull have fallen from grace. It's not out of the question for a team, possibly Wigan, to do the reverse and climb the table just as quickly. Like I say, by the end of next weekend we could see Wigan only 3 points off a semi final place, and the format of the Super8's means that every game is a 4 pointer. It's not like you're winning games and your opponents are beating some deadbeats to stay clear, everyone is taking points off one another. We all know how much Wigan dislike the biggest club in Superleague, and they won't need any extra motivation to climb the table and beat us in the process. I thought Warrington showed great line speed and intensity to beat Wigan on Thursday, something we will have to more than match to put Wigan's league campaign to bed.
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| Wigan have 8 games to make up 5 points. Though with pts difference and the relative rarity of draws thats realistically 6 points.
to make up 6 points from 16 is difficult but it becomes much more difficult in the 8s format because clubs play each other. So best case scenario for Wigan is that Saints beat Wakefield and Hull, and Hull beat Wakefield, which would mean that Wigan need to gain 3 wins to be level on points and more likely 4 wins. Out of 8 games that looks a hugely tough ask. Then you take in to account if any of those three sides get victories over Hudds or Leeds or Cas or Salford and Wigan are needing to gain 5/6 games and pretty soon it is going from difficult to impossible.
Right now Wigan need to not only be aiming for 7 or 8 wins in the next 8 games, but are already needing results to go their way. Personally i think they are almost done, id even say that if Saints dont win this weekend they are out of it as well.
As i said before we implemented this new system, there is a problem with the mathematics of the Super 8s in seeing clubs move up from 7th/8th up to the 4 because the fact clubs play each other its only a narrower and narrower set of results that can see movement in league positions.
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| Quote ="PrinterThe"Guaranteed 2nd place now (congrats Lioner 81
'"
Well thank you and congrats to yourself too Printer, you were closer and more confident than me.......
Quote ="ThePrinter"
1 - Warrington
2 - Wigan
3 - Leeds
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| If you want Wigan and Saints to miss out its really up to the other teams to stand up. Whilst Smokey's right on the maths meaning its difficult for sides to move a long way in the 8s, part of the reason we haven't seen much movement before is because most sides have given up before they start. This year no side in the top 8 ought to be in that position as they all stand a chance of getting in. If every team goes all out in every game then Wigan and Sts will struggle to move up, but if the likes of Salford (entirely possible) and Wakefield (less likely but possible) implode then two top 4 spots could be up for grabs.
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| Quote ="loiner81"Well thank you and congrats to yourself too Printer, you were closer and more confident than me.......
'"
Well with Leeds at least, the less said about the Warrington prediction the better although I'd guess most posters are in the same boat with that one.
People talk about false positions but I think 3rd is about right. Although we currently sit 2nd I think fans of most clubs above Wigan (barring Cas) would accept that Wigan would be above them if they hadn't had it so bad with injuries.
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