Quote ="Sal Paradise"My understanding of Gilts is that they are sold at a fixed interest rate - selling them short only changes the relationship between the face value and the interest rate not the government's ability to pay as the face value remains the same? If the government issues 10n at 5% it repays 10.5bn back regardless of market sentiment. Are you seriously suggesting that the UK will default on its debt and that it will not be able to borrow unless the bonds have a % 15-20%!!'"
The short positions themselves won't have a direct monetary affect on the solvency of the country, they're simply a way of cashing in on the consequence of the bond market collapsing though as sentiment grows for these trades, those who are long will go short which will accelerate events.
This country's so called "strong economy" is dependent on liquidity to keep the bubble inflated whether that be low interest rates, quantitive easing (money printing to you and me) and "Help to Buy" etc. but the laws of mathematics mean you can only do this for so long because the velocity of money eventually slows. The government can keep printing money to target inflation but this devalues the currency and exceeds the interest rates on the bonds or deflation kicks in and the economy grinds to a halt and revenues dry up - either way the bonds markets goes under.
When the bonds go, the currency goes with them which compounds the need to raise interest rates further (Russia recently had to raise interest rates to 17% to protect the Ruble) and there's absolutely nothing that can prevent this scenario from unfolding because 35% of the bond market are foreign buyers so it doesn't matter what anyone thinks.
When Thatcher said the market will have the final say she was right - this country will go under as a result of her time in office because when you turn the economy into a service economy like ours which is 70%, there's only so much financial engineering you can do before the chickens come home to roost.
The collapse of the country will be a good thing to wipe out baby boomer's pensions and their two holidays a year, and instead allow the young people of this country at least a fairer society - even though a poorer one.
The Tories know nothing.